The air is thick with desperation on the polar bear front:
“[Andrew] Derocher said the polar bear population in the Beaufort Sea has fallen more than 50 per cent in the past 10 years.
“So it is a concern that this is probably one of the factors associated with the population decline,” he said.
As the CBC report in which this quote appears states immediately afterwards, there is no evidence for such a thing in the paper under discussion:
“The study found no direct evidence of that – all polar bears appeared to survive the swims recorded in the study.”
There is no truth to Derocher’s first statement either. Desperation – you don’t have to be a scientist to sense it. And the media wonder why people don’t trust them…
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Beaufort Sea, Derocher, desperation, Earth Day, facts, hype, Michaels, polar bear, population crash, sea ice, swimming
I’ve got two special deals running on my polar bear attack novel for the rest of the month: you can enter to win an autographed copy of the paperback and/or enjoy 60% off most ebook formats.
I’ll also be publishing daily PolarBearScience articles and thought-provoking essays for the rest of this month – up to, and including, International Polar Bear Day on the 27th. Stay tuned.
The media promote this ‘polar bear who died of climate change’ rubbish because it’s good for business but there is no evidence to support it. The Daily Mail today is running a piece that encourages the self-serving, sensationalist claim made by a photographer trying to sell his book.
Read the whole thing here but remember this: the leading cause of death for all polar bears is starvation, in part because they have no natural enemies. Polar bears die of starvation every year, with or without ‘climate change.’
This bear might have died of starvation but that does not mean global warming is to blame. It’s bad enough when it’s a leading polar bear biologist making such a ridiculous claim but there is no reason at all to take the scientifically baseless word of Sebastian Copeland on this matter.
Previous posts where I have addressed similar claims:
Last year’s dead Svalbard polar bear used for this year’s propaganda
Polar bear behaviour gets the animal tragedy porn treatment – two new papers
Cannibalism in polar bears: spin and misrepresentation of fact galore posted
Ian Stirling’s howler update: contradicted by scientific data
The New York Times has a “Love and Death” theme for their books section this Valentine’s Day weekend – wouldn’t my new novel fit right in?
In fact, I gave a polar bear lecture to a men’s club a few days ago and two of the guys bought copies of EATEN as Valentine’s gifts for their wives.
One man said, “That’s not wrong, is it?” Truly, absolutely not!
Most women love a good book. EATEN has several strong female characters that women (and men) will admire. There’s a thread of potential romance that runs through the riveting terror of multiple polar bear attacks – enough to peak a woman’s interest but not so much to put a man off.
The book has been selling well and getting excellent reviews. Soon, EATEN will be on bookshelves across Newfoundland and Labrador – I’ve made a deal with a major Atlantic book distributor who thinks the book will be a good seller. That’s rare for a self-published novel, I can tell you.
So, go ahead – buy EATEN for the one you love and help support the work I do here at PolarBearScience. At Amazon USA here; Barnes and Noble here or the Book Depository (which has free delivery worldwide); Amazon UK here. Other ebook options here.
Results of this fall’s Barents Sea population survey have been released by the Norwegian Polar Institute and they are phenomenal: despite several years with poor ice conditions, there are more bears now (~975) than there were in 2004 (~685) around Svalbard (a 42
30% increase) and the bears were in good condition.
Oddly, in a September report right after the count, biologist Jon Aars reported them in “excellent” condition, with some of them “as fat as pigs.” I guess “good” is the same as “excellent.”
Bears in the Russian portion of the Barents Sea were not counted this year because the Russians would not allow it; the previous total count, from 2004, was 2,650 (range ~1900-3600) for the entire region.
In the map above (courtesy the IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group), the Svalbard archipelago is on the left (Norwegian territory) and the archipelagos of Franz Josef Land and Novaya Zemlya on the right (Russian territory).
Oddly, the comments made by lead researcher Jon Aars to a Norwegian newspaper (in English), which picked this up yesterday (“Polar bears make a comeback” ), were far more positive than those in the press release (which is likely all that western media will see).
UPDATE 24 December 2015: The new population survey number for Svalbard is actually a 42% increase over the 2004 number. Thanks to Arvid Oen, a WUWT reader, for alerting Anthony Watts to the error, and to Anthony for passing it along. Title and text fixed accordingly, apologies to any others who have picked this up. Cheers and Merry Christmas.
Posted in Conservation Status, Population, Sea ice habitat, Uncategorized
Tagged Aars, Arctic Fallacy, Barents Sea, estimate, expert opinion, facts, increase, information, IUCN, Norwegian Polar Institute, PBSG, polar bear, population size, sea ice, Svalbard
Amazon.com is having a Black Friday sale and paperbacks are 30% off, one per customer.
Great time to buy your copy of “Eaten” if you haven’t ordered it already. Save some cash, get a great read. Details here – a terrifying polar bear attack thriller set in 2025.
Use promo code HOLIDAY30 at checkout, from 26 November 2015 12:00 am EST to 30 November 2015 02:59am EST only.
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged 2025, Amazon, Black Friday, Crockford, discount, Eaten, fiction, novel, polar bear, polar bear attack, thriller
In an update to an earlier story from last month about a male polar bear spotted near Kaktovik with a tight satellite radio collar, a Russian biologist has voiced some some serious criticisms of the use of these devises.
In another news outlet, Andrew Derocher has finally admitted publicly that the Kaktovik bear with the tight collar is a male and is”likely his” (Global News, 23 November 2015; “Is this polar bear really being choked by a research collar?”). The male bear appears to have been fitted with a collar some time between 2007 and 2011. The collar should have fallen off by now but hasn’t. Derocher suggested maybe the collar isn’t really too tight and the blood might not belong to the bear. And that if the bear really wanted the collar off, he “…will be able to remove it himself.”
The criticisms of the use of collars are well worth reading.
UPDATE 25 November 2015: Another CBC report, not much more useful information except confirmation this is a male bear.